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Liberty Gold Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

29,088.07

decreased by 1,930.58

1 Week

30,713.17

decreased by 305.48

1 Month

27,748.03

decreased by 3,270.62

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Liberty Gold Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 23% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1013
18.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8870
372.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0235
3.33***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days