V-Lab
Liberty Gold Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
29,088.07
1 Week
30,713.17
1 Month
27,748.03
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2011 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 23% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.07 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1013 | 18.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8870 | 372.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0235 | 3.33*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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