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Liberty Gold Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

8,612.71

decreased by 1,364.13

1 Week

9,638.06

decreased by 338.78

1 Month

9,216.60

decreased by 760.24

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:13 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liberty Gold Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2011 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 62 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1744
4.78***
αARCH0.1368
9.67***
βGARCH0.8521
61.74***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0691
1.29
γ2-0.2458
-3.01***
γ30.4405
7.47***
γ4-0.7952
-8.69***

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1744
4.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1368
9.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8521
61.74***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0691
1.29
γ2-0.2458
-3.01***
γ30.4405
7.47***
γ4-0.7952
-8.69***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days