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V-Lab

Liberty Gold Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

14,714.74

decreased by 1,682.68

1 Week

16,465.81

increased by 68.39

1 Month

23,185.13

increased by 6,787.71

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Liberty Gold Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2011 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1806
4.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1363
9.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8529
61.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0722
1.31
γ2-0.2551
-3.03***
γ30.4527
7.38***
γ4-0.7697
-8.28***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days