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V-Lab

Liberty Gold Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

24,925.71

increased by 3,021.36

1 Week

23,075.50

increased by 1,171.15

1 Month

24,247.47

increased by 2,343.12

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Liberty Gold Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2011 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 65 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1826
4.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1361
9.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8533
61.61***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0728
1.30
γ2-0.2573
-3.03***
γ30.4557
7.34***
γ4-0.7621
-8.17***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days