V-Lab
Placo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,949.22
decreased by 162.64
1 Week
3,030.54
decreased by 81.32
1 Month
2,900.36
decreased by 211.50
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1995 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~346573 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5862 | |
| αARCH | 0.1059 | |
| βGARCH | 0.8941 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.0924 | |
| γ2 | -0.2307 | |
| γ3 | 0.2040 | |
| γ4 | -0.0969 |
1.000
Persistence346573d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5862 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1059 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8941 |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.0924 | |
| γ2 | -0.2307 | |
| γ3 | 0.2040 | |
| γ4 | -0.0969 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
346573 days
Other Placo Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities