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Placo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

1,732.24

decreased by 207.57

1 Week

2,016.47

increased by 76.66

1 Month

2,479.03

increased by 539.22

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 11:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Placo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 308 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~308 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1537
5.44***
αARCH0.1094
11.69***
βGARCH0.8884
99.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.3013
1.30
γ2-0.8589
-2.66***
γ31.1361
5.75***
γ4-0.9919
-4.21***
γ50.5364
2.58***
γ6-0.1426
-1.00
γ70.1393
0.86
γ8-0.0923
-0.49
γ9-0.4380
-1.59

0.998

Persistence

308d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1537
5.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1094
11.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8884
99.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.3013
1.30
γ2-0.8589
-2.66***
γ31.1361
5.75***
γ4-0.9919
-4.21***
γ50.5364
2.58***
γ6-0.1426
-1.00
γ70.1393
0.86
γ8-0.0923
-0.49
γ9-0.4380
-1.59

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

308 days