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V-Lab
V-Lab

Placo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

2,949.22

decreased by 162.64

1 Week

3,030.54

decreased by 81.32

1 Month

2,900.36

decreased by 211.50

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Placo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~346573 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5862
αARCH0.1059
βGARCH0.8941
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0924
γ2-0.2307
γ30.2040
γ4-0.0969

1.000

Persistence

346573d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5862
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1059
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8941
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0924
γ2-0.2307
γ30.2040
γ4-0.0969

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

346573 days