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Placo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

4,725.58

increased by 1,165.98

1 Week

3,977.31

increased by 417.71

1 Month

3,334.09

decreased by 225.51

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Placo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 405 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0955
5.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1102
11.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8881
99.01***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.2246
0.79
γ2-0.7717
-2.02**
γ31.1512
5.37***
γ4-1.0363
-4.14***
γ50.5567
2.67***
γ6-0.1573
-1.07
γ70.1724
0.94
γ8-0.1208
-0.60
γ9-0.3710
-1.47

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

405 days