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V-Lab

Placo Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

3,951.51

increased by 29.53

1 Week

3,890.02

decreased by 31.96

1 Month

3,937.61

increased by 15.63

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 9, 2026 at 12:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Placo Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 407 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0895
5.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1100
11.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8883
99.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.2211
0.78
γ2-0.7619
-2.00**
γ31.1347
5.38***
γ4-1.0208
-4.14***
γ50.5518
2.65***
γ6-0.1548
-1.06
γ70.1652
0.93
γ8-0.1159
-0.59
γ9-0.3870
-1.48

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

407 days