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V-Lab

Nanshan Aluminium Internatio Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

862.29

decreased by 83.12

1 Week

989.82

increased by 44.41

1 Month

955.66

increased by 10.25

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Nanshan Aluminium Internatio ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 29 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1998
5.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1506
3.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8261
18.01***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.3840
0.34

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days