Skip to main content
V-Lab

Nanshan Aluminium Internatio Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

916.38

decreased by 124.31

1 Week

1,031.36

decreased by 9.33

1 Month

997.72

decreased by 42.97

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Nanshan Aluminium Internatio ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 25, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 30 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1928
4.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1552
3.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8218
17.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.2424
0.19

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days