GFI Co Ltd/Korea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
377.67
decreased by 40.37
1 Week
389.49
decreased by 28.55
1 Month
274.82
decreased by 143.22
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2024 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6317 | 5.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1287 | 2.48** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7847 | 10.78*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -9.7858 | -7.23*** |
| γ2 | 19.2767 | 6.53*** |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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