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V-Lab

GFI Co Ltd/Korea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

377.67

decreased by 40.37

1 Week

389.49

decreased by 28.55

1 Month

274.82

decreased by 143.22

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of GFI Co Ltd/Korea ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2024 to Jul 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6317
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1287
2.48**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7847
10.78***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-9.7858
-7.23***
γ219.2767
6.53***

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days