V-Lab
GFI Co Ltd/Korea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
230.63
decreased by 14.83
1 Week
220.72
decreased by 24.74
1 Month
233.49
decreased by 11.97
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7096 | 4.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1458 | 2.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7636 | 10.76*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -7.9373 | -7.04*** |
| γ2 | 15.9902 | 6.91*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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