V-Lab
GFI Co Ltd/Korea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
364.28
decreased by 39.81
1 Week
394.43
decreased by 9.66
1 Month
318.21
decreased by 85.88
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6360 | 4.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1318 | 2.50** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7737 | 10.38*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -9.1652 | -7.70*** |
| γ2 | 18.6485 | 7.41*** |
Persistence:
0.905
Half-life:
7 days
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