GFI Co Ltd/Korea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
383.04
increased by 36.47
1 Week
332.68
decreased by 13.89
1 Month
220.67
decreased by 125.90
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2024 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6357 | 5.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1296 | 2.47** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7826 | 10.67*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -9.9436 | -7.16*** |
| γ2 | 19.1753 | 6.37*** |
Persistence:
0.912
Half-life:
8 days
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