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V-Lab

GFI Co Ltd/Korea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

230.63

decreased by 14.83

1 Week

220.72

decreased by 24.74

1 Month

233.49

decreased by 11.97

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 07:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of GFI Co Ltd/Korea ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7096
4.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1458
2.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7636
10.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-7.9373
-7.04***
γ215.9902
6.91***

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days