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V-Lab

GFI Co Ltd/Korea Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

364.28

decreased by 39.81

1 Week

394.43

decreased by 9.66

1 Month

318.21

decreased by 85.88

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of GFI Co Ltd/Korea ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 22, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6360
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1318
2.50**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7737
10.38***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-9.1652
-7.70***
γ218.6485
7.41***

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days