V-Lab
GFI Co Ltd/Korea ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
32.42
1 Week
40.25
1 Month
75.41
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 38 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 38 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.4549 | 17.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5748 | 31.75*** |
| γleverage | -0.0952 | -2.91*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 103.1671 |
0.982
Persistence38d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4549 | 17.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5748 | 31.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0952 | -2.91*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 103.1671 |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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