V-Lab
Balco Group Ab (Publ) ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
107,730.50
1 Week
118,447.76
1 Month
171,104.99
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 6, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2171 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4463 | 2.55** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2171 | -0.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1457 | 0.05 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8543 | 0.70 |
Persistence:
0.555
Half-life:
1 days
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