V-Lab
Rizhao Port Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
80.97
1 Week
93.05
1 Month
136.98
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 17, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1703 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8263 | 1.95* |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1077 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.8900 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.5614 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4047 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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