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V-Lab

Rizhao Port Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

84.53

decreased by 23.86

1 Week

96.81

decreased by 11.58

1 Month

131.52

increased by 23.13

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rizhao Port Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 17, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 66 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3147
3.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2453
15.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7443
58.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.8241
-12.92***
γ21.2147
8.62***
γ3-0.3767
-2.65***
γ4-0.1145
-1.28
γ50.1875
2.13**

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days