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V-Lab

Rizhao Port Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

104.40

increased by 41.40

1 Week

83.37

increased by 20.37

1 Month

111.39

increased by 48.39

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rizhao Port Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 17, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 65 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3140
3.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2450
15.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7445
58.72***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.8182
-13.10***
γ21.2069
8.81***
γ3-0.3757
-2.71***
γ4-0.1144
-1.30
γ50.1978
2.24**

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days