V-Lab
Rizhao Port Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
84.53
decreased by 23.86
1 Week
96.81
decreased by 11.58
1 Month
131.52
increased by 23.13
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 17, 2006 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 66 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3147 | 3.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2453 | 15.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7443 | 58.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.8241 | -12.92*** |
| γ2 | 1.2147 | 8.62*** |
| γ3 | -0.3767 | -2.65*** |
| γ4 | -0.1145 | -1.28 |
| γ5 | 0.1875 | 2.13** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
Other Rizhao Port Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities