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V-Lab

Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

5.52

decreased by 0.39

1 Week

6.06

increased by 0.15

1 Month

7.17

increased by 1.26

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:58 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1994 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 19 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9261
3.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1410
10.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8235
47.03***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.7845
-7.74***
γ21.0557
6.45***
γ3-0.3238
-2.69***
γ40.1313
1.49
γ5-0.1516
-2.18**
γ60.1607
2.31**
γ7-0.1554
-2.32**
γ8-0.0782
-1.24
γ90.3585
5.75***
γ10-0.2890
-3.84***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

19 days