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Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

385.03

unchanged at 0.00

1 Week

385.03

unchanged at 0.00

1 Month

385.14

increased by 0.11

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1994 to Jul 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 526 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.68
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0139
0.50
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9868
121.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0039
-0.12

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

526 days