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Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

384.37

decreased by 0.06

1 Week

384.46

increased by 0.03

1 Month

384.43

increased by 0.00

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Turkiye Sise ve Cam Fabrikalari AS ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1994 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 525 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.69
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0139
0.50
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9868
121.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0039
-0.12

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

525 days