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Tongda Group Holdings Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

848,125.20

decreased by 86,403.20

1 Week

722,643.48

decreased by 211,884.92

1 Month

630,485.30

decreased by 304,043.10

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tongda Group Holdings Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 2000 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

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High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.20
αARCH0.1186
3.02***
βGARCH0.8301
40.74***
γleverage0.1026
1.62

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.20
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1186
3.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8301
40.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1026
1.62

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-