V-Lab
Hoegh Autoliners Asa Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
186.14
increased by 9.56
1 Week
178.58
increased by 2.00
1 Month
223.16
increased by 46.58
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 01:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 29, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 124 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 214% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~124 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 214% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.3990 | 1.69* |
| αARCH | 0.0472 | 1.96** |
| βGARCH | 0.8967 | 62.80*** |
| γleverage | 0.1010 | 2.09** |
0.994
Persistence124d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.3990 | 1.69* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0472 | 1.96** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8967 | 62.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1010 | 2.09** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
124 days
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