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Hoegh Autoliners Asa Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

206.64

decreased by 5.31

1 Week

222.99

increased by 11.04

1 Month

199.76

decreased by 12.19

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 01:20 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hoegh Autoliners Asa ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 29, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 223% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~113 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 223% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.4942
1.76*
αARCH0.0444
1.90*
βGARCH0.8999
64.83***
γleverage0.0991
2.09**

0.994

Persistence

113d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.4942
1.76*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0444
1.90*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8999
64.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0991
2.09**

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days