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Hoegh Autoliners Asa Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

263.75

decreased by 2.68

1 Week

201.55

decreased by 64.88

1 Month

190.56

decreased by 75.87

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hoegh Autoliners Asa ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 29, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 123 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 227% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~123 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 227% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.3707
1.74*
αARCH0.0447
1.91*
βGARCH0.8988
64.22***
γleverage0.1017
2.14**

0.994

Persistence

123d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.3707
1.74*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0447
1.91*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8988
64.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1017
2.14**

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

123 days