V-Lab
Hoegh Autoliners Asa Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
243.99
decreased by 7.02
1 Week
256.62
increased by 5.61
1 Month
325.74
increased by 74.73
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:25 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 29, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 121 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 206% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.4739 | 6.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0477 | 7.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8974 | 250.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0983 | 8.10*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
121 days
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