V-Lab
Hoegh Autoliners Asa Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
357.28
increased by 0.20
1 Week
393.36
increased by 36.28
1 Month
476.79
increased by 119.71
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 29, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 124 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 197% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.4259 | 6.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0488 | 8.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8976 | 250.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0960 | 7.87*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
124 days
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