Hoegh Autoliners Asa Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026
1 Day
340.44
increased by 65.07
1 Week
275.75
increased by 0.38
1 Month
251.36
decreased by 24.01
Analysis last updated: Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 01:13 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 29, 2021 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 247% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~113 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 247% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 4.5403 | 1.74* |
| αARCH | 0.0414 | 1.83* |
| βGARCH | 0.9014 | 65.97*** |
| γleverage | 0.1021 | 2.20** |
0.994
Persistence113d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.5403 | 1.74* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0414 | 1.83* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9014 | 65.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1021 | 2.20** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
113 days
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