V-Lab
Hoegh Autoliners Asa ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
271.77
1 Week
261.05
1 Month
304.17
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 29, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0911 | 12.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8507 | 97.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0911 | -2.24** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.9172 | 40.41*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9935 | 572.97*** |
Persistence:
0.896
Half-life:
6 days
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