V-Lab
Hoegh Autoliners Asa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
288.87
increased by 2.29
1 Week
275.74
decreased by 10.84
1 Month
347.56
increased by 60.98
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:26 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 29, 2021 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 91 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8374 | 4.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1220 | 6.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8704 | 51.53*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0736 | -0.90 |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
91 days
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