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Hoegh Autoliners Asa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

179.62

decreased by 2.45

1 Week

168.81

decreased by 13.26

1 Month

188.66

increased by 6.59

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

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graph of Hoegh Autoliners Asa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 29, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 85 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~85 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8318
4.46***
αARCH0.1226
7.02***
βGARCH0.8692
52.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0911
-1.21

0.992

Persistence

85d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8318
4.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1226
7.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8692
52.12***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0911
-1.21

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

85 days