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Hoegh Autoliners Asa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

185.72

decreased by 13.33

1 Week

212.32

increased by 13.27

1 Month

196.01

decreased by 3.04

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 01:20 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Hoegh Autoliners Asa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 29, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~82 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8475
4.52***
αARCH0.1200
7.01***
βGARCH0.8716
53.10***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0772
-1.06

0.992

Persistence

82d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8475
4.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1200
7.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8716
53.10***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0772
-1.06

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

82 days