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Chitec Technology Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

567.84

increased by 186.32

1 Week

462.00

increased by 80.48

1 Month

859.92

increased by 478.40

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chitec Technology Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 16, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.5852
3.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4402
9.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5519
11.83***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.8167
0.79
γ2-1.2443
-0.75
γ32.2652
1.42
γ4-4.9811
-2.51**
γ56.7788
3.36***
γ6-21.1629
-3.39***
γ746.3628
3.23***
γ8-42.2033
-3.14***
γ912.8096
2.71***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

88 days