V-Lab
Chitec Technology Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
659.70
decreased by 13.87
1 Week
684.88
increased by 11.31
1 Month
662.62
decreased by 10.95
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 16, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.37 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0560 | 0.82 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9720 | 117.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0560 | -0.78 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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