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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

193.37

decreased by 11.06

1 Week

215.15

increased by 10.72

1 Month

152.37

decreased by 52.06

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 506 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~506 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.8428
1.83*
αARCH0.0993
5.73***
βGARCH0.8334
79.42***
γleverage0.1319
4.33***

0.999

Persistence

506d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8428
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0993
5.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8334
79.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1319
4.33***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

506 days