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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

292.82

decreased by 6.56

1 Week

282.21

decreased by 17.17

1 Month

228.30

decreased by 71.08

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 492 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~492 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.8439
1.83*
αARCH0.0991
5.72***
βGARCH0.8336
79.68***
γleverage0.1318
4.33***

0.999

Persistence

492d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8439
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0991
5.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8336
79.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1318
4.33***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

492 days