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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

189.73

decreased by 21.77

1 Week

233.02

increased by 21.52

1 Month

263.75

increased by 52.25

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 518 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 132% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8289
7.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0992
22.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8338
318.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1313
17.19***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

518 days