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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 9th, 2026

1 Day

343.78

increased by 42.44

1 Week

326.80

increased by 25.46

1 Month

298.27

decreased by 3.07

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/06/2024

to

11/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 465 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~465 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.8399
1.83*
αARCH0.0987
5.71***
βGARCH0.8340
80.11***
γleverage0.1315
4.33***

0.999

Persistence

465d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8399
1.83*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0987
5.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8340
80.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1315
4.33***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

465 days