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Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

225.36

decreased by 9.29

1 Week

277.49

increased by 42.84

1 Month

261.38

increased by 26.73

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 536 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 132% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8432
7.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0993
22.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8338
318.60***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1314
17.22***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

536 days