Skip to main content
V-Lab

Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

240.98

decreased by 10.92

1 Week

268.38

increased by 16.48

1 Month

261.51

increased by 9.61

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 25, 1993 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 541 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 132% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.8317
7.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0995
22.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8337
318.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1310
17.12***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

541 days