V-Lab
Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
109.64
decreased by 9.86
1 Week
138.87
increased by 19.37
1 Month
232.81
increased by 113.31
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 25, 1993 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 502 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~502 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 133% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.8210 | 1.81* |
| αARCH | 0.0990 | 5.71*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8336 | 79.52*** |
| γleverage | 0.1319 | 4.33*** |
0.999
Persistence502d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.8210 | 1.81* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0990 | 5.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8336 | 79.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1319 | 4.33*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
502 days
Other Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities