V-Lab
Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
240.40
1 Week
261.69
1 Month
252.62
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 25, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2010 | 1.70* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8100 | 143.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2010 | -1.34 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.79*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6531 | 11.08*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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