V-Lab
Phoenix Shipping Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
302.89
1 Week
357.83
1 Month
290.64
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 25, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2007 | 1.72* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8102 | 149.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2007 | -1.35 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 8.2388 | 2.71*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7153 | 15.23*** |
Persistence:
0.911
Half-life:
7 days
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