V-Lab
Beijing Jingneng Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
40.55
1 Week
49.06
1 Month
51.99
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2002 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 450 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2571 | 5.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7553 | 131.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0279 | -0.30 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4286 | 6.20*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 1,239.02*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
450 days
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