V-Lab
Beijing Jingneng Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
27.37
1 Week
34.49
1 Month
36.16
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 418 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2573 | 4.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7552 | 119.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0283 | -0.29 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3521 | 6.42*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 1,166.65*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
418 days
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