V-Lab
Beijing Jingneng Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
52.81
1 Week
62.14
1 Month
66.68
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:54 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2002 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 94% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3708 | 8.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1523 | 12.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7764 | 159.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1426 | 10.35*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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