Beijing Jingneng Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
62.24
1 Week
67.51
1 Month
50.44
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 06:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 10, 2002 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 94% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.4491 | 8.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1524 | 12.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7760 | 159.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1432 | 10.39*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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