V-Lab
Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 3rd, 2026
1 Day
415.83
increased by 12.49
1 Week
435.05
increased by 31.71
1 Month
452.61
increased by 49.27
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 06:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 17, 1994 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.13 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2417 | 0.88 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6520 | 4.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2127 | 0.49 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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