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Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

379.50

decreased by 92.84

1 Week

398.69

decreased by 73.65

1 Month

441.51

decreased by 30.83

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 06:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 17, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 88% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.52
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2418
3.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6518
18.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2128
1.97**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-