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V-Lab

Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

410.32

decreased by 5.91

1 Week

413.73

decreased by 2.50

1 Month

391.93

decreased by 24.30

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 17, 1994 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

19.0268
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3708
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6292
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0118
γ2-0.3401

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days