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V-Lab

Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

528.38

increased by 50.56

1 Week

492.91

increased by 15.09

1 Month

577.51

increased by 99.69

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 17, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 336 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2706
2.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3538
13.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6441
23.48***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.1278
3.44***
γ2-0.2668
-3.10***
γ30.3487
2.88***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

336 days