V-Lab
Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
528.38
increased by 50.56
1 Week
492.91
increased by 15.09
1 Month
577.51
increased by 99.69
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 17, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 336 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2706 | 2.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3538 | 13.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6441 | 23.48*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.1278 | 3.44*** |
| γ2 | -0.2668 | -3.10*** |
| γ3 | 0.3487 | 2.88*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
336 days
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