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Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

349.75

increased by 37.33

1 Week

372.59

increased by 60.17

1 Month

350.46

increased by 38.04

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 06:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 17, 1994 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.7961
5.50***
αARCH0.3569
8.74***
βGARCH0.5713
14.43***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0424
-0.78
γ20.2178
2.22**
γ3-0.3459
-2.77***
γ40.2258
1.46
γ5-0.0489
-0.34
γ6-0.0050
-0.04

0.928

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7961
5.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3569
8.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5713
14.43***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.0424
-0.78
γ20.2178
2.22**
γ3-0.3459
-2.77***
γ40.2258
1.46
γ5-0.0489
-0.34
γ6-0.0050
-0.04

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days