V-Lab
Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
604.59
1 Week
623.36
1 Month
603.41
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 17, 1994 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4902 | 8.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5151 | 7.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.4902 | -5.78*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.95 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0338 | 9.19*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9469 | 135.86*** |
Persistence:
0.760
Half-life:
3 days
Other Ningxia Western Venture Industrial Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities