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Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

79.25

increased by 24.30

1 Week

60.16

increased by 5.21

1 Month

59.49

increased by 4.54

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 06:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2005 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~84 days
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow106
αARCH0.2152
22.66***
βGARCH0.7913
95.23***
γleverage-0.0295
-2.40**
λ₁tau intercept0.5456
2.17**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9971
129.26***

0.992

Persistence

84d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

106
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2152
22.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7913
95.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0295
-2.40**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5456
2.17**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9971
129.26***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

84 days