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Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

84.50

decreased by 15.87

1 Week

92.55

decreased by 7.82

1 Month

111.43

increased by 11.06

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Guizhou Qianyuan Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 3, 2005 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2155
1.77*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7908
139.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0286
-0.12
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.6259
3.62***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9971
311.70***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

86 days