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Shandong Xinneng Taishan Power Generation Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
189.76
1 Week
195.55
1 Month
208.35
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 06:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 9, 1997 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2936 | 21.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7096 | 50.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2936 | -13.77*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.64 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9361 | 853.31*** |
Persistence:
0.856
Half-life:
4 days
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