V-Lab
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
9,226.95
1 Week
9,403.75
1 Month
10,174.02
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 6, 2015 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1043 | 2.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8673 | 131.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1043 | -1.50 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.40 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 3.45*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.919
Half-life:
8 days
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