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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

10,204.45

increased by 637.66

1 Week

10,246.69

increased by 679.90

1 Month

9,822.14

increased by 255.35

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 6, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 110 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1175
53.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8737
410.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0051
4.30***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

14,621.3500

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

110 days