{name} Model Equation

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	56
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1056	2.98***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8657	129.85***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1056	-1.52
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.40
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	1.0000	3.50***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0000	0.01

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