How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	21
αARCH	0.1249	7.39***
βGARCH	0.7839	25.42***
γleverage	0.0022	0.04
λ₁tau intercept	3.4690	1.32
λ₂forecast adj.	0.9277	36.75***
λ₃tau persistence	0.0478	4.38***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1249	7.39***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7839	25.42***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0022	0.04
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	3.4690	1.32
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.9277	36.75***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0478	4.38***

V-Lab

Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Analyses