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Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

101.37

increased by 12.00

1 Week

102.63

increased by 13.26

1 Month

88.59

decreased by 0.78

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2021 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 59 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2573
5.28***
αARCH0.1632
9.18***
βGARCH0.8250
46.00***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1873
-2.44**

0.988

Persistence

59d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2573
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1632
9.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8250
46.00***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1873
-2.44**

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

59 days