Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
74.66
increased by 18.68
1 Week
66.40
increased by 10.42
1 Month
61.85
increased by 5.87
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 50 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2604 | 5.38*** |
| αARCH | 0.1626 | 9.01*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8236 | 44.95*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2029 | -2.79*** |
0.986
Persistence50d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2604 | 5.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1626 | 9.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8236 | 44.95*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2029 | -2.79*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
Other Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities