V-Lab
Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
68.29
decreased by 8.52
1 Week
65.03
decreased by 11.78
1 Month
47.97
decreased by 28.84
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2456 | 5.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1628 | 8.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8213 | 43.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2303 | -3.20*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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