V-Lab
Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
52.18
decreased by 3.98
1 Week
49.95
decreased by 6.21
1 Month
58.02
increased by 1.86
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2438 | 5.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1615 | 8.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8227 | 43.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2285 | -3.18*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
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