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Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

53.69

increased by 1.85

1 Month

40.05

decreased by 11.79

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2517
5.36***
αARCH0.1605
8.90***
βGARCH0.8248
44.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2128
-2.99***

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2517
5.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1605
8.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8248
44.89***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2128
-2.99***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days