V-Lab
Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
38.57
decreased by 3.62
1 Week
44.16
increased by 1.97
1 Month
46.93
increased by 4.74
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 44 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2414 | 5.28*** |
| αARCH | 0.1603 | 8.83*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8240 | 44.22*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2272 | -3.18*** |
0.984
Persistence44d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2414 | 5.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1603 | 8.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8240 | 44.22*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2272 | -3.18*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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