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Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

38.57

decreased by 3.62

1 Week

44.16

increased by 1.97

1 Month

46.93

increased by 4.74

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 44 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2414
5.28***
αARCH0.1603
8.83***
βGARCH0.8240
44.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2272
-3.18***

0.984

Persistence

44d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2414
5.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1603
8.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8240
44.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2272
-3.18***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days