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Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

74.66

increased by 18.68

1 Week

66.40

increased by 10.42

1 Month

61.85

increased by 5.87

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 50 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2604
5.38***
αARCH0.1626
9.01***
βGARCH0.8236
44.95***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2029
-2.79***

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2604
5.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1626
9.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8236
44.95***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2029
-2.79***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days