V-Lab
Suzhou Recodeal Interconnect System Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
53.69
increased by 1.85
1 Month
40.05
decreased by 11.79
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:01 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2517 | 5.36*** |
| αARCH | 0.1605 | 8.90*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8248 | 44.89*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2128 | -2.99*** |
0.985
Persistence47d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2517 | 5.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1605 | 8.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8248 | 44.89*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2128 | -2.99*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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