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Jiangxi Ganneng Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

128.84

decreased by 39.00

1 Week

151.38

decreased by 16.46

1 Month

117.61

decreased by 50.23

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 06:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangxi Ganneng Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2295 trading days (~9.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7726
11.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2619
17.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7378
49.69***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ10.0846
7.11***
γ2-0.3273
-9.14***
γ30.6425
6.30***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2295 days