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Jiangxi Ganneng Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

67.87

decreased by 22.43

1 Week

97.78

increased by 7.48

1 Month

84.89

decreased by 5.41

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jiangxi Ganneng Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 26, 1997 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~86643 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5895
0.01
αARCH0.2484
0.00
βGARCH0.7515
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0541
0.00
γ2-0.4581
0.00

1.000

Persistence

86643d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5895
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2484
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7515
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0541
0.00
γ2-0.4581
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

86643 days