V-Lab
Jiangxi Ganneng Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
82.12
decreased by 0.60
1 Week
99.37
increased by 16.65
1 Month
149.63
increased by 66.91
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 26, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2272 trading days (~9.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7716 | 11.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2616 | 17.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7381 | 50.09*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.0856 | 7.21*** |
| γ2 | -0.3279 | -9.13*** |
| γ3 | 0.6391 | 6.26*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2272 days
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