V-Lab
Jiangxi Ganneng Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
163.51
1 Week
133.86
1 Month
145.90
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 26, 1997 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 56 | |
| αARCH | 0.4665 | 3.05*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6679 | 13.83*** |
| γleverage | -0.2787 | -1.32 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.7137 | 5.80*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.1310 | 4.44*** |
0.995
Persistence138d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4665 | 3.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6679 | 13.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2787 | -1.32 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7137 | 5.80*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1310 | 4.44*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
Other Jiangxi Ganneng Co Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities