V-Lab
China Yangtze Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
2.16
1 Week
2.69
1 Month
3.07
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 18, 2003 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1876 | 7.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8198 | 74.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1876 | -4.81*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0246 | 0.48 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7621 | 13.96*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2380 | 23.74*** |
Persistence:
0.914
Half-life:
8 days
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