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China Yangtze Power Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

2.55

decreased by 0.26

1 Week

2.77

decreased by 0.04

1 Month

3.18

increased by 0.37

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of China Yangtze Power Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0864
15.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2312
8.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8037
195.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0696
-1.95*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-