Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
21.52
1 Week
24.07
1 Month
22.16
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 1993 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 304% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.5087 | 1.57 |
| αARCH | 0.0816 | 5.06*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7945 | 50.94*** |
| γleverage | 0.2478 | 2.49** |
1.000
Persistence1386294d
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5087 | 1.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0816 | 5.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7945 | 50.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2478 | 2.49** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities