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Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

0.00

decreased by 27.52

1 Week

25.11

decreased by 2.41

1 Month

24.38

decreased by 3.14

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8315
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3360
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6640
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-3.8442
γ29.2428
γ3-8.1030
γ414.9276
γ5-26.9074
γ620.1618
γ7-7.9599
γ84.3093
γ9-1.1955
γ10-2.3830

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-