V-Lab
Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
0.00
decreased by 27.52
1 Week
25.11
decreased by 2.41
1 Month
24.38
decreased by 3.14
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 1993 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8315 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3360 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6640 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -3.8442 | |
| γ2 | 9.2428 | |
| γ3 | -8.1030 | |
| γ4 | 14.9276 | |
| γ5 | -26.9074 | |
| γ6 | 20.1618 | |
| γ7 | -7.9599 | |
| γ8 | 4.3093 | |
| γ9 | -1.1955 | |
| γ10 | -2.3830 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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