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Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

18.66

increased by 3.15

1 Week

18.93

increased by 3.42

1 Month

24.67

increased by 9.16

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 24, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 267 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4401
2.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2666
13.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7308
37.93***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0540
1.15
γ2-0.0212
-0.28
γ3-0.5826
-15.40***
γ41.7982
13.56***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

267 days