V-Lab
Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
18.66
increased by 3.15
1 Week
18.93
increased by 3.42
1 Month
24.67
increased by 9.16
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 267 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4401 | 2.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2666 | 13.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7308 | 37.93*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 0.0540 | 1.15 |
| γ2 | -0.0212 | -0.28 |
| γ3 | -0.5826 | -15.40*** |
| γ4 | 1.7982 | 13.56*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
267 days
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