Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
22.23
1 Week
23.27
1 Month
24.39
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 1993 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2377 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6965 | 0.58 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2377 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4670 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4072 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5928 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.815
Half-life:
3 days
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