V-Lab
Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
25.20
1 Week
30.97
1 Month
24.93
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 24, 1993 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3138 | 0.64 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7663 | 174.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2089 | -0.23 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 1.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0002 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9863 | 152.11*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
28 days
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