Roche Bobois SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, June 17th, 2026
1 Day
96,033,340.00
1 Week
96,033,340.00
1 Month
94,609,890.00
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 07:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 28, 2021 to Jun 5, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 1.0000 | 7.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 10.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -1.81* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0100 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 5.53*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.750
Half-life:
2 days
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