BTB Korea Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,036.04
1 Week
802.74
1 Month
895.31
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 5, 2017 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1421 | 12.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8775 | 339.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1421 | -5.33*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2801 | 14.96*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 5.00*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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