BTB Korea Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
1,105.27
increased by 316.86
1 Week
811.58
increased by 23.17
1 Month
849.71
increased by 61.30
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 08:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 5, 2017 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7792 | 2.45** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1579 | 5.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6264 | 7.62*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -37.7064 | -5.47*** |
| γ2 | 51.7076 | 5.44*** |
| γ3 | -7.8980 | -1.96** |
| γ4 | -9.0161 | -3.92*** |
| γ5 | -0.1549 | -0.08 |
| γ6 | 8.2536 | 4.45*** |
| γ7 | -5.5083 | -3.12*** |
| γ8 | -0.5775 | -0.32 |
| γ9 | 1.2402 | 0.60 |
| γ10 | 1.3011 | 0.35 |
Persistence:
0.784
Half-life:
3 days
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