V-Lab
BTB Korea Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
1,554.43
increased by 527.62
1 Week
1,255.86
increased by 229.05
1 Month
910.51
decreased by 116.30
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 5, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1045 | 2.12** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1071 | 9.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8783 | 302.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0293 | 1.70* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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