V-Lab
BTB Korea Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
1,296.01
increased by 107.28
1 Week
1,223.34
increased by 34.61
1 Month
1,259.92
increased by 71.19
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 5, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1026 | 2.07** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1065 | 9.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8786 | 304.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0298 | 1.76* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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