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Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

386.97

decreased by 52.99

1 Week

411.55

decreased by 28.41

1 Month

315.35

decreased by 124.61

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 16, 2007 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 280 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 183% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~280 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 183% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.9112
2.89***
αARCH0.1120
6.73***
βGARCH0.7827
108.55***
γleverage0.2055
7.27***

0.998

Persistence

280d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.9112
2.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1120
6.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7827
108.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2055
7.27***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

280 days