V-Lab
Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
386.97
decreased by 52.99
1 Week
411.55
decreased by 28.41
1 Month
315.35
decreased by 124.61
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 16, 2007 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 280 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 183% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~280 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 183% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.9112 | 2.89*** |
| αARCH | 0.1120 | 6.73*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7827 | 108.55*** |
| γleverage | 0.2055 | 7.27*** |
0.998
Persistence280d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.9112 | 2.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1120 | 6.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7827 | 108.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2055 | 7.27*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
280 days
Other Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities