V-Lab
Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
341.14
1 Week
284.53
1 Month
276.20
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 16, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2730 | 8.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7316 | 284.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2730 | -4.83*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2294 | 34.27*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9942 | 858.58*** |
Persistence:
0.868
Half-life:
5 days
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