Feitian Technologies Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
360.14
1 Week
360.85
1 Month
281.28
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1955 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7410 | 27.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1955 | -0.47 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8455 | 1.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0562 | 0.57 |
Persistence:
0.839
Half-life:
4 days
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