V-Lab
Feitian Technologies Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
114.55
decreased by 35.46
1 Week
123.95
decreased by 26.06
1 Month
125.17
decreased by 24.84
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 2014 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2049 | 7.49*** |
| αARCH | 0.2522 | 14.56*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7054 | 36.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0286 | -3.08*** |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2049 | 7.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2522 | 14.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7054 | 36.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0286 | -3.08*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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