V-Lab
Feitian Technologies Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
323.38
decreased by 24.22
1 Month
222.32
decreased by 125.28
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 2014 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2216 | 7.46*** |
| αARCH | 0.2537 | 14.62*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7052 | 36.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0281 | -3.01*** |
0.959
Persistence16d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2216 | 7.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2537 | 14.62*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7052 | 36.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0281 | -3.01*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
16 days
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