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Stakk Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

467,705.40

increased by 126,268.50

1 Week

442,404.04

increased by 100,967.14

1 Month

355,211.36

increased by 13,774.46

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 08:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Stakk Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2004 to Jul 17, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1167 trading days (~4.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.8858
0.04
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3636
1.78*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-0.01
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0308
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3866
0.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6134
0.37

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1167 days