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Medco Energi Intl Tbk Pt ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

0.39

decreased by 0.03

1 Week

0.51

increased by 0.09

1 Month

0.45

increased by 0.03

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 08:59 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Medco Energi Intl Tbk Pt ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 20, 1995 to Oct 23, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.2975
4.49***
βGARCH0.6358
12.77***
γleverage-0.2975
-1.97**
λ₁tau intercept0.0152
0.88
λ₂forecast adj.0.8554
7.85***
λ₃tau persistence0.1447
3.23***

0.785

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2975
4.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6358
12.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2975
-1.97**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0152
0.88
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8554
7.85***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1447
3.23***

Persistence:

0.785

Half-life:

3 days