V-Lab
Medco Energi Intl Tbk Pt ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
0.30
1 Week
0.36
1 Month
0.40
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 20, 1995 to Aug 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2983 | 0.31 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6353 | 29.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2983 | -0.15 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0152 | 0.39 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8537 | 0.38 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1463 | 0.29 |
Persistence:
0.785
Half-life:
3 days
Other Medco Energi Intl Tbk Pt Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on International Equities