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Trisul Sa ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026

1 Day

20,492.96

decreased by 316.59

1 Week

19,733.75

decreased by 1,075.80

1 Month

16,558.49

decreased by 4,251.06

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Trisul Sa ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2007 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0885
4.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9230
267.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0351
-0.98
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0012
1.97**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9955
2,579.00***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days