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V-Lab

Trisul Sa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

20,992.71

increased by 2,267.28

1 Week

19,977.83

increased by 1,252.40

1 Month

17,785.52

decreased by 939.91

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trisul Sa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2007 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 45 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5820
1.55
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1092
5.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8756
47.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-2.6568
-1.50
γ24.2377
1.51
γ3-1.9636
-1.23
γ40.8913
0.97
γ5-2.5086
-4.28***
γ63.2434
7.32***
γ7-0.8756
-2.27**
γ8-0.4840
-1.50
γ9-0.0318
-0.11
γ100.5426
1.45

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days