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V-Lab

Trisul Sa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

15,362.15

decreased by 635.16

1 Week

16,064.24

increased by 66.93

1 Month

18,122.12

increased by 2,124.81

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 08:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trisul Sa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 44 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5774
1.54
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1098
5.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8746
47.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-2.6642
-1.51
γ24.2478
1.52
γ3-1.9748
-1.25
γ40.9151
1.01
γ5-2.5175
-4.37***
γ63.1977
7.34***
γ7-0.8124
-2.13**
γ8-0.5031
-1.56
γ9-0.0410
-0.15
γ100.5224
1.35

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

44 days