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Yamashin-Filter Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

93.25

decreased by 3.99

1 Week

88.09

decreased by 9.15

1 Month

88.33

decreased by 8.91

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5824 trading days (~23.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8686
5.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1636
11.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8363
59.53***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0612
-1.62

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

5824 days