V-Lab
Yamashin-Filter Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
99.74
decreased by 17.52
1 Week
108.51
decreased by 8.75
1 Month
90.46
decreased by 26.80
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 15068 trading days (~59.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8686 | 5.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1628 | 14.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8372 | 75.42*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0703 | -2.25** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
15068 days
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