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Yamashin-Filter Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

97.26

decreased by 8.35

1 Week

91.74

decreased by 13.87

1 Month

97.08

decreased by 8.53

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 613 trading days (~2.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 141% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2515
3.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0775
15.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8665
238.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1097
13.60***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

613 days