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Yamashin-Filter Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

94.16

decreased by 11.71

1 Week

94.06

decreased by 11.81

1 Month

90.15

decreased by 15.72

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2014 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1217 trading days (~4.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 199% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1598
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0627
18.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8742
367.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1250
19.46***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1217 days