V-Lab
Yamashin-Filter Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
88.55
increased by 29.91
1 Week
68.81
increased by 10.17
1 Month
76.48
increased by 17.84
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1076 trading days (~4.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 202% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1598 | 5.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0620 | 18.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8747 | 369.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1254 | 19.61*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1076 days
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