Yamashin-Filter Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
97.26
decreased by 8.35
1 Week
91.74
decreased by 13.87
1 Month
97.08
decreased by 8.53
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 613 trading days (~2.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 141% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2515 | 3.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0775 | 15.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8665 | 238.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1097 | 13.60*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
613 days
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