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Yamashin-Filter Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

88.55

increased by 29.91

1 Week

68.81

increased by 10.17

1 Month

76.48

increased by 17.84

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Yamashin-Filter Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 8, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1076 trading days (~4.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 202% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1598
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0620
18.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8747
369.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1254
19.61***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1076 days